Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.005574 1.134676 1.275770 1.441695 1.631837 1.843333 2.096971
2025-01-05 0.790323 0.960188 1.161567 1.419079 1.741281 2.133253 2.649483
2025-01-12 0.676696 0.862777 1.095497 1.410175 1.827988 2.368448 3.128202
2025-01-19 0.575463 0.762012 1.005367 1.349385 1.828496 2.479941 3.446161
2025-01-26 0.526397 0.720920 0.984418 1.372142 1.936070 2.738709 3.989798
2025-02-02 0.487884 0.688460 0.969433 1.398019 2.046336 3.008378 4.578097
2025-02-09 0.451344 0.654106 0.946800 1.407971 2.130863 3.245210 5.141689
2025-02-16 0.419302 0.622622 0.924294 1.414003 2.207355 3.474524 5.718208
2025-02-23 0.396444 0.602403 0.916076 1.439999 2.316129 3.764456 6.429922
2025-03-02 0.362617 0.562016 0.872605 1.404346 2.318433 3.875675 6.840905
2025-03-09 0.346164 0.547549 0.868594 1.432485 2.430118 4.184129 7.646256
2025-03-16 0.323125 0.520378 0.841356 1.418108 2.465058 4.358674 8.219872
2025-03-23 0.306962 0.503716 0.830837 1.432868 2.555793 4.648889 9.067844
2025-03-30 0.286361 0.477970 0.802814 1.413852 2.582300 4.821484 9.703762
2025-04-06 0.269418 0.457141 0.781470 1.404633 2.625594 5.029993 10.442187
2025-04-13 0.246248 0.423634 0.735018 1.344140 2.562466 5.017989 10.698258
2025-04-20 0.237277 0.414838 0.732383 1.366797 2.666964 5.360501 11.797512
2025-04-27 0.229391 0.407379 0.731510 1.392562 2.780069 5.733578 13.023643
2025-05-04 0.220003 0.396425 0.723163 1.402471 2.860583 6.044700 14.148323
2025-05-11 0.210826 0.385201 0.713400 1.408476 2.933017 6.345662 15.294078
2025-05-18 0.204615 0.379200 0.713271 1.434361 3.051630 6.766023 16.813776
2025-05-25 0.191985 0.359861 0.685385 1.398862 3.028153 6.848949 17.450504
2025-06-01 0.187024 0.355325 0.686856 1.426879 3.153629 7.305635 19.185324